Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.9#340
Expected Predictive Rating-15.2#342
Pace82.4#10
Improvement+3.3#51

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#256
First Shot-2.1#240
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#269
Layup/Dunks-2.2#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#229
Freethrows-0.3#194
Improvement+1.8#94

Defense
Total Defense-10.5#351
First Shot-8.7#349
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#326
Layups/Dunks-8.5#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#274
Freethrows-0.3#185
Improvement+1.5#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 67   Mississippi L 76-90 3%     0 - 1 -5.9 +1.0 -5.9
  Nov 19, 2015 139   Louisiana Monroe L 64-80 12%     0 - 2 -17.1 -11.5 -5.3
  Nov 22, 2015 12   @ Arizona L 42-61 1%     0 - 3 +0.3 -17.1 +14.7
  Nov 27, 2015 180   @ Auburn L 81-119 8%     0 - 4 -36.0 -5.9 -22.3
  Dec 01, 2015 66   @ Arkansas L 78-117 2%     0 - 5 -27.9 -6.2 -13.2
  Dec 08, 2015 20   @ Baylor L 62-75 1%     0 - 6 +4.8 +4.9 -2.0
  Jan 02, 2016 284   Houston Baptist L 73-99 38%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -36.9 -14.8 -19.4
  Jan 04, 2016 225   Sam Houston St. L 79-94 24%     0 - 8 0 - 2 -21.6 -5.0 -15.2
  Jan 09, 2016 267   @ Incarnate Word L 56-70 17%     0 - 9 0 - 3 -17.6 -16.6 -1.7
  Jan 12, 2016 316   @ Abilene Christian L 72-87 28%     0 - 10 0 - 4 -22.9 -11.0 -10.4
  Jan 16, 2016 330   @ Lamar L 82-86 34%     0 - 11 0 - 5 -13.6 -6.0 -7.1
  Jan 19, 2016 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 79-89 17%     0 - 12 0 - 6 -13.8 -4.6 -7.9
  Jan 23, 2016 334   @ McNeese St. L 74-75 37%     0 - 13 0 - 7 -11.4 -8.0 -3.3
  Jan 25, 2016 333   @ Nicholls St. W 88-80 35%     1 - 13 1 - 7 -2.0 +3.9 -6.7
  Jan 30, 2016 322   SE Louisiana W 91-76 51%     2 - 13 2 - 7 +0.8 +1.3 -2.2
  Feb 02, 2016 327   Central Arkansas W 91-75 55%     3 - 13 3 - 7 +0.9 +3.9 -3.8
  Feb 08, 2016 54   @ Stephen F. Austin L 72-83 2%     3 - 14 3 - 8 +1.7 -3.0 +5.9
  Feb 13, 2016 334   McNeese St. W 87-78 59%     4 - 14 4 - 8 -7.2 -2.2 -5.7
  Feb 15, 2016 327   @ Central Arkansas L 94-107 33%     4 - 15 4 - 9 -22.3 +2.6 -23.3
  Feb 20, 2016 326   New Orleans L 99-102 53%     4 - 16 4 - 10 -17.7 -1.3 -15.7
  Feb 22, 2016 333   Nicholls St. W 81-67 57%     5 - 16 5 - 10 -1.8 -3.1 +0.1
  Feb 29, 2016 322   @ SE Louisiana L 82-84 30%     5 - 17 5 - 11 -10.4 -5.5 -4.6
  Mar 03, 2016 54   Stephen F. Austin L 55-95 4%     5 - 18 5 - 12 -33.2 -14.3 -18.9
  Mar 05, 2016 326   @ New Orleans L 86-97 31%     5 - 19 5 - 13 -19.8 -1.5 -16.9
Projected Record 5.0 - 19.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%